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When Will COVID-19 End



Data-Driven Estimation of End Dates (Updated as of April 21, 2020)

SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model is regressed based on the data from different countries to predict the key dates of transition during the epidemic lifecycle in different countries. The prediction is updated with newer data. Codes from Milan Batista. Data from Our World in Data

Singapore
Singapore
End around July 23
United States
United States
End around June 14
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
End around June 9
Canada
Canada
End around June 11
France
France
End around June 6
Germany
Germany
End around June 2
Spain
Spain
End around May 7
Italy
Italy
End around May 4
Turkey
Turkey
End date around May 13
United Arab Emirates
United Arab Emirates
End around 19 May

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